Last week was the first complete week since Mercury turned
retrograde on November 30, a cosmic phenomenon that will
last through December 20. In this past week we observed several
market movements that are consistent with our historical
observations of Mercury retrograde. On Wednesday, December
8, before the U.S. markets even opened, Silver suddenly reversed.
Throughout the prior week, from Thursday, December 2 through
Tuesday, December 7, March Silver traded as high as 823,
and not lower than 784. The 823 high was right up there with
its yearly high for the year, which was at 828 back on April
2. And that was its highest level since February 7, 1998,
so this double top was a 6-year high. But two days later,
by Thursday, December 9, March Silver was all the way down
to 662, a loss of nearly 20% in one week. Was that expected?
Did support hold? No, and that is the nature of Mercury retrograde.
And Gold, the darling of the trading community for the
past 6 months, had risen from 372.50 back on May 10, 2004
(one week before Venus turned retrograde), to a 16-year high
of 459.20 on Friday, December 3. That was a 6-month appreciation
of 31%. It was also in the time band of our projected crest,
due December 3-24, based on the historical observation of
Mars in a certain sector of Scorpio. Gold was still trading
above 456 as late as Tuesday of last week, December 7. But
by the very next day, it fell all the way back to 435, a
one day loss of over $20.00 from top to bottom. Did support
hold there? Well, it depends on what level of support you
are looking for. Obviously Gold did not break as much support
as Silver.
And what about Black Gold? Crude Oil continued to decline,
testing 40.00 last week, when just six weeks ago it was
at an all-time high of 55.65. That’s
a whopping 26+% decline, which is even more severe than Silver, albeit over
a much longer period of time (6 weeks compared to only one week). But why are
all these “inflation-related” commodities falling so hard so suddenly?
Is it Mercury retrograde? Is it because of all these Sagittarian planets and
Jupiter major aspects discussed last week? Sure, as that is a principle of
exaggeration and over-reaching. And they may also be reversing now because
we have just ended one of the most heavily populated geocosmic cluster zones
of the year, when 16 major signatures were present between November 4 and December
5, in which no more than 6 calendar days separated any two consecutive signatures.
As soon as that period ended (December 6 was the first trading day), the top
was in, and the decline was about to begin. It actually started Tuesday, but
accelerated with great exaggeration on Wednesday. Thus is was a combination
of several geocosmic factors: Mercury retrograde in Sagittarius, conjunct Pluto
in Sagittarius, following the week after Jupiter formed its first of three
waning trines to Jupiter.
As the hard commodities plummeted, the U.S.
stock market embarked upon a wild ride of its own. The
S&P and NASDAQ
formed new highs for their 4-year cycles on December 3. The
Dow Jones Industrial Average also formed a new multi-month
high on December 3, but not a new high for its 4-year cycle,
which so far was 10,753 back on February 19. As it stands
right now, this is a case of Intermarket bearish divergence.
It will only be negated if the DJIA can climb back above
that February high, which is a little more than 200 points
away.
Other equity markets of the world performed
as one would expect under Mercury retrograde. Some were
up, like the Swiss
stock market and the Argentina Merval. Some were down, like
the London FTSE and Japanese Nikkei. And some just flipped
back and forth, making new multi week highs or lows, like
the German DAX, Netherlands AEX, and Hong Kong’s Hang
Seng. The All Ordinaries of Australia made another new all
time high early last week, and then started to fall. In almost
all indices (except the Swiss and Argentina), the technical
studies look more bearish than bullish as we start next week.
But such studies may be unreliable under the retrograde of
Mercury, as observed so many times in the past. Yet we must
also take note that December 2-3 was a geocosmic reversal
period in which many equity markets around the world attained
their multi-week and multi-month highs. And now they are
at least pausing, as our concept of critical reversal dates
and geocosmic cluster zones would imply.
The economic and political news of last
week was also very reflective of longer-term geocosmic
patterns, especially
given our attention lately to the Saturn-Pluto cycle. This
cycle has much to do with issues pertaining to debt. The
Treasuries of the world, the Central Banks, the level of
interest rates, the values of the currencies relative to
one another (and especially to the Dollar)… all of
these relate to the geocosmic relationship between Saturn
and Pluto. Right now, Saturn is in retrograde in Cancer,
moving back to a quincunx (150 degree aspect) to Pluto in
Sagittarius. Saturn has also been at the midpoint of Pluto
and Uranus (October 2004 through early August 2005), and
in the next two years, it will move into a waxing and waning
sesquiquadrate with each (2004-2006). Astrologically, this
configuration (known as a Yod) is just a prelude to 2008-2010,
when these same three planets (Saturn-Uranus-Pluto) will
enter a non-exact, but-close-enough T-square to one another.
The last time that happened was in 1931. So what we see between
late 2004 through 2006 is a cosmic prelude to what we will
see between 2008-2010, which itself appears to be developing
themes similar to what we experienced in 1931, the last time
this T-square unfolded.
In last week’s column, I focused on a fundamental
issue developing in the United States that I thought would
relate to the Saturn-Pluto dynamic of “debt issues” later
this decade, and possibly well into the next decade. I discussed
the looming crisis of an under funded Social Security and
Medicare program, probably coinciding with the start of the “Baby
Boomers” retiring in 2008. Although this crisis is
looming in the United States, the repercussions could be
felt throughout the entire free world. The concern about
the financial well-being of the U.S.A. is not just a concern
noted through the understanding of astrology. Wednesday’s
Wall Street Journal had a very interesting editorial titled: “A
Stronger Treasury.” The editorial starts out with, “More
than Defense or State, and certainly more than Homeland Security,
if there is a single cabinet post that could ruin President
Bush’s second term, our choice would be Treasury.” It
goes on to ask: “...the larger issue is why the Bush
Administration has settled for a weak Treasury… The
need for a strong Treasury is all the more vital with Alan
Greenspan scheduled to depart the FED in 2006…. In
addition to expertise, Mr. Bush needs a Treasury Secretary
who has the stature to fight the White House tendency to
make economic choices for short-term political reasons….
But whoever Mr. Bush chooses, we hope he’s a figure
large enough for the challenges likely to present themselves
during the next four years. A Treasury Department is a terrible
thing to waste.”
So, on top of the looming social security
and Medicare crisis, we have political observers also deeply
concerned
about the White House’s ability to address the even
greater overview of this nation’s financial direction.
And it all ties in – synchronicity? - with the Saturn-Pluto
cycle. This planetary-pair cycle rules debt and credit, prosperity
and recession. As discussed so many times before in this
column, when it moves from conjunction to opposition (1982-2001),
federal deficits decrease, interest rates go down, taxes
go down, prosperity increases, stock markets rally, and the
correct investment strategy to apply is to “appreciate
your capital.” When it moves from opposition to conjunction
(2001-2020), deficits increase, interest rates rise, taxes
start to rise, equity markets do not appreciate considering
inflation, more and more recessions and even depressions
unfold, and the correct investment strategy to apply is to “protect
your capital.” A severely challenged (and neglected)
Treasury Department or Central Bank could lead us right into
the very type of “dark days economically” that
a Saturn-Uranus-Pluto T-square would imply.
For this coming week, we find the Sun conjunct Pluto and Venus trine Saturn
on Monday, December 13. Neither of these has a very strong correlation to reversals
in equity markets, although the Sun-Pluto may have an impact on the currency
and Treasury markets. On December 19, Venus will square Uranus and Mars will
trine Saturn, which also have little impact upon equity markets. The final
signature of this current cluster will be Mercury turning stationary direct
on December 20. The midpoint of all these signatures is December 16-17, which
means that within three trading days, there could be an end to corrections
taking place in many financial markets. But since none of these is a Level
1 type of signature, I do not believe the level of reversal will be too significant.
For that, we may have to wait until December 30 through the first week of January,
when Mars will form its waning square to Uranus. That is a more powerful Level
1 type of geocosmic signature. Until then, this is a market for very short-term
traders only.
Announcement: Next year’s Forecasts
for 2005 book
is completed, and the first group of pre-orders went out
today, Friday, December 10. All “pre-publish” orders
will be in the mail no later than this Monday, Dec 13. If
you pre-ordered before December 8, you are in these groups,
and you should be receiving your Forecasts For 2005 books
by the end of this week, December 17-18. If you live overseas,
you will probably receive your copies either late this week
or by middle of next week. If you live in Canada, it could
arrive in about two weeks, as your postal mail system is
one of the most challenged on planet these days. Remaining
copies of this year’s Forecasts Book are available
at $39.95 (plus $5.00 postage USA and Canada, or $12.00 elsewhere),
while supplies last. These may be ordered through our website
at www.mmacycles.com (click the banner on ORDERS or BOOKS).
Or you can order via email at ordersmma@msn.com, or by fax
at 1-248-427-1994, or by phone at 1-248-626-3034. This unique
overview of each year covers forecasts and critical reversal
dates for the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver,
T-Notes, Euro, Swiss Franc, Japanese Yen, Corn, Soybeans,
Wheat and Crude Oil markets. It is already proving to be
true with Gold and Silver as of last week. Order now and
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Disclaimer
and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is
not to predict the future movement
of various financial
markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman
Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not
a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those
cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating
this column from English into a non-English language. This
weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader
on the relationship between astrological factors and collective
human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this
report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock
and financial markets throughout the world in the past week,
and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures
that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic
factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even
month, or even years, and the author’s understanding
of how these signatures will likely affect human activity
in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this
from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at
the military, political, economic, and even financial markets
of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be
made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is
to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological
climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The
hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological
dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events
and hence financial markets of the day.
No
guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being
made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely
the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author
nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for
those individual decisions. Reader should understand
that futures and options trading are considered high
risk.
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